You're going to fail.
There. I said it. Not because I'm a pessimist, but because the data doesn't lie. Only 9% of people who make New Year's resolutions actually keep them.1 By the time you're reading this in early January, 23% will have already quit.2 By February? 80% gone.3
But here's the kicker: it's not your fault. Well, not entirely.
You've been lied to about how goal-setting works. You've been fed motivational garbage that sounds inspiring but collapses under the weight of reality. And worst of all, you've been taught to set resolutions in a way that practically guarantees failure.
I'm Ivan, CTO of Full Stack Fitness and a performance engineer for tech leaders. I spent 20+ years in engineering at Fortune 500 companies before losing 45kg and becoming a Certified Personal Trainer. I've seen hundreds of professionals crash and burn with New Year's resolutions, and I've helped others succeed. The difference? They stopped doing what everyone else does.
If you give me 5 minutes, I'll show you the systematic approach that actually works. No motivation required. No willpower worship. Just engineering principles applied to behavior change.
Let's get to work.
Why New Year's Resolutions Actually Matter (And Why Most Gurus Get This Wrong)
Here's an uncomfortable truth: New Year's resolutions work. At least, they CAN work better than making changes at random times throughout the year.
Behavioral scientists Katherine Milkman, Hengchen Dai, and Jason Riis discovered something fascinating in their research on "temporal landmarks."4 They analyzed gym visits, Google searches for "diet," and goal commitments across thousands of people and found that behavior change spikes dramatically following what they call temporal landmarks - significant dates like New Year's Day, the start of a new month, birthdays, or even Mondays.
The reason? These landmarks create mental accounting periods that separate your past imperfect self from your future aspirational self. January 1st psychologically feels like a fresh start, a clean slate. It's not just tradition - it's neurologically advantageous.
The problem isn't that resolutions don't work. The problem is that 91% of people set them up to fail from day one.
Here's what the data shows:
- Week 1: 77% still going strong5
- End of January: 43% have quit6
- End of February: 80% gone3
- After 2 years: Only 19% remain7
The second Friday in January even earned the nickname "Quitter's Day" because that's when most people abandon ship.8
So why does this matter? Because if you understand WHY resolutions fail, you can engineer a system that doesn't.
The Real Reasons Most People Quit (And Why "Motivation" Is Bullshit)
Let's dissect the corpse of failed resolutions and figure out what killed them. Spoiler: it wasn't lack of desire.
1. Your Goals Are Vague Garbage
"Get fit." "Lose weight." "Be healthier."
These aren't goals. They're wishes. They're motivational poster slogans with zero actionable content.
Research from Per Carlbring's team at Stockholm University revealed that how you frame your resolution dramatically affects whether you'll keep it.9 The study showed that people who reframe negative goals ("stop eating sweets") into positive, specific behaviors ("eat fruit several times daily") are significantly more likely to succeed.
Why? Because your brain can't execute vague commands. "Get fit" gives your nervous system nothing to work with. No timeline, no measurement, no clear action. It's the equivalent of telling an engineer to "make something good."
The brutal truth: If you can't measure it and you don't know what "done" looks like, you don't have a goal. You have a fantasy.
2. You Have Zero Accountability
Here's a statistic that should terrify you: having an idea or goal gives you a 10% chance of completing it.10
Just 10%.
Want to know what boosts that to 95%? Scheduled accountability with another person.10
The Association for Talent Development study found that:
- Having an idea: 10% completion
- Consciously deciding to do it: 25% completion
- Deciding when to do it: 40% completion
- Planning how to do it: 50% completion
- Committing to someone else: 65% completion
- Having scheduled accountability appointments: 95% completion10
Look at that progression. Every step that adds structure and external accountability multiplies your success rate. By the time you have someone expecting you to show up? You're nearly guaranteed to follow through.
But most of you? You're going it alone, armed with nothing but fleeting motivation and good intentions. That's not a plan. That's a prayer.
3. Your Social Environment Is Sabotaging You
Quick psychology lesson: You are the average of the people you spend time with. This isn't motivational fluff - it's behavioral science.
Research on social norms and behavior change shows that your environment matters more than your willpower. A study on technology use in classrooms found that students in courses with strong social norms against phone use spent only 10% of class time multitasking, compared to 24% in courses where students just made personal plans.11
The difference? Social accountability versus individual commitment. Group norms trump personal intentions every time.
When your friends are ordering pizza and skipping workouts, your brain sees that as the accepted behavior. When everyone around you is crushing goals and holding each other accountable? That becomes your new normal.
The reality: If your social environment doesn't support your resolution, you're fighting an uphill battle with a broken leg.
4. You're Focused on Outcomes Instead of Identity
This is where most fitness advice goes catastrophically wrong.
James Clear, author of Atomic Habits, breaks down behavior change into three layers:12
- Outcomes: What you want to achieve (lose 20 pounds, run a marathon)
- Processes: What you do (workout 3x/week, follow a training plan)
- Identity: What you believe about yourself (I'm an athlete, I'm a high-performer)
Most people start with outcomes. "I want to lose 20 pounds." Then they white-knuckle their way through a diet until they can't sustain it anymore.
The people who succeed? They start with identity.
Instead of "I want to lose weight," they say "I'm a lean performance machine." Instead of "I should work out more," they say "I'm someone who moves daily because physical capacity is my foundation."
Clear's research shows that your habits are how you embody your identity. Every time you do a behavior, you cast a vote for the type of person you believe you are.12 Do it enough times and your brain accepts it as truth.
The shift: Stop trying to achieve fitness. Start being someone fit. The rest follows naturally.
5. You're Trying to Change Everything at Once
January 1st hits and suddenly you're going to:
- Hit the gym 6 days a week
- Meal prep like a professional chef
- Get 8 hours of sleep
- Meditate daily
- Read a book a week
- Learn a language
All while working 60-hour weeks and managing your existing life.
This is called the "false hope syndrome," and it's why gym parking lots are packed on January 2nd and empty by February.
You can't simultaneously overhaul your entire life and expect it to stick. Your brain's capacity for behavior change is limited - what psychologists call "ego depletion." Every change you try to make simultaneously taxes your willpower reserves.13
The fix: One habit at a time. Master it. Make it automatic. Then add the next one. This is how you build sustainable transformation, not how you crash and burn by Valentine's Day.
The Framework That Actually Works: Your Resolution Engineering System
Enough diagnosis. Let's talk solutions.
If you want to keep your resolutions - not just in January, but for the entire year and beyond - you need a systematic approach. Here's the framework that turns vague wishes into executed reality.
PART 1: Set SMART Goals (But Not the Way You Think)
You've probably heard of SMART goals. Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Time-bound. Business school 101.
But here's what nobody tells you: SMART goals only work when combined with identity and accountability. Research shows that SMART goal strategies significantly increase goal attainment and need satisfaction,14 but they're most effective for well-defined, specific tasks rather than open-ended learning or complex behavior change.
Here's how to use them correctly:
- Bad SMART Goal: "I want to lose 20 pounds by June 30th"
- Good SMART Goal: "I will complete 4 strength training sessions per week (M/W/F/Sa) for 6 months, tracking workouts in my app"
See the difference? The second one focuses on the behavior (controllable), not just the outcome (variable). It's specific about what, when, and how you'll measure.
But we're going one step further.
Identity-Integrated SMART Goal: "I'm a high-performance professional who optimizes my physical capacity. I train 4x/week because my body is infrastructure for cognitive performance. I track this in my app and review weekly."
Now you've anchored the behavior to your identity. It's not something you're trying to do - it's who you are.
Your Action Step:
- Define your annual goal with specificity
- Break it into quarterly milestones
- Identify the weekly behaviors required
- Frame it as an identity statement: "I'm the type of person who..."
PART 2: Frame Resolutions as Systems, Not Outcomes
Let's borrow from engineering: focus on the process, not just the product.
Your resolution shouldn't be "lose 20 pounds." It should be: "I'm building a system where I move my body 5x/week and fuel it with high-quality nutrition."
Systems thinking changes everything:
- Outcomes are binary (you either hit 20 pounds or you don't)
- Systems are continuous (you either ran the system today or you didn't)
- Outcomes can be derailed by variables outside your control (injury, illness, stress)
- Systems are within your control (did you show up? Did you execute?)
Clear's research shows that true behavior change is identity change - you might start a habit because of motivation, but you only stick with it when it becomes part of who you are.12
The mindset shift:
❌ "I want to look better" → ✅ "I'm a lean performance machine"
❌ "I should exercise more" → ✅ "I'm someone who moves daily"
❌ "I need to lose weight" → ✅ "I engineer my body like I engineer code - systematically"
This isn't semantic games. This is neurological rewiring. When your identity aligns with your behavior, resistance disappears.
PART 3: Critical Implementation Measures (The Difference Between 10% and 95% Success)
Remember that accountability study? Here's where we apply it.
Measure #1: Install Social Accountability
Solo missions fail. Full stop.
You need structure that includes:
- Public commitment: Tell people what you're doing (raises the psychological cost of quitting)
- Accountability partners: Find someone with similar goals, check in weekly
- Community engagement: Join a group where the behavior you want is the norm
- Scheduled check-ins: Not "when you feel like it" - SCHEDULED
This is why programs and challenges work better than DIY approaches. The study showed 95% success rate with scheduled accountability versus 10% going solo.10
Your action: Don't just "try" to change. Build accountability into your system.
Measure #2: Design Your Environment
Willpower is overrated. Environment design is underrated.
If you want to work out in the morning, sleep in your gym clothes. If you want to eat healthier, don't keep junk food in your house. If you want to stay consistent, make the behavior so frictionless that NOT doing it feels harder.
Research on habit formation shows that reducing friction for desired behaviors and increasing friction for undesired ones dramatically improves adherence.15
The principle: Make good choices automatic and bad choices inconvenient.
Measure #3: Stack Small Wins
Your brain craves evidence of progress. Give it that evidence early and often.
Don't start with "workout 7 days a week." Start with "10 minutes, 3 days a week." Nail that. Build confidence. Stack the next small win.
This is the compound effect of behavior change. A 1% improvement daily compounds to being 37 times better in a year.16 But that only works if you don't quit in week 2.
Your strategy: Set the bar laughably low. Build momentum. Increase gradually.
Measure #4: Join a Structured Program
Here's where everything we've discussed converges.
A good challenge or program provides:
- Clear behavioral targets (removes decision fatigue)
- Social accountability (95% vs 10% success rate)
- Supportive environment (group norms drive behavior)
- Scheduled check-ins (maintains momentum)
- Identity reinforcement (you're part of a community of high-performers)
This isn't about outsourcing your discipline. It's about engineering conditions for success.
Think about it: would you rather have a 10% chance of success going alone, or a 95% chance with structure?
Measure #5: Track and Measure Religiously
What gets measured gets managed. What gets measured and reported to someone else gets managed consistently.
Your tracking should be:
- Simple (takes 30 seconds or less)
- Visible (you see it daily)
- Shared (someone else knows your numbers)
Use an app, a spreadsheet, a notebook - I don't care. Just track it.
The Natural Bridge: Why January Challenges Work
Now here's where everything clicks into place.
You understand:
- Why temporal landmarks (like January 12th - first Monday after Quitter's Day) boost motivation
- Why social accountability increases success 9.5x
- Why identity-based habits stick when outcome-based goals don't
- Why structured systems beat individual willpower
So let me ask you: what if you could access all of this in one place?
That's exactly why I created the Reset, Rebuild, Reclaim! January LIVE Challenge.
It's not another generic fitness program. It's a systematic implementation of everything you just read:
- Temporal Landmark: Starts January 12th (first Monday after the Quitter's Day) - leveraging the Fresh Start Effect
- Social Accountability: Private Facebook community + LIVE workouts
- Identity-Based: Framed as becoming a high-performance professional, not just "getting fit"
- Structured System: 21 days, 5 LIVE workouts/week (15-30 min), daily wellness tips
- Small Wins: Minimum effective dose protocols - efficient and sustainable
- Measurement: Progress tracking tools + accountability check-ins
And here's the kicker: it's designed specifically for people like you. Tech professionals. Engineering leaders. High performers who understand systems thinking and want to apply it to their bodies.
What You Get:
- 21 days of structured programming (no guesswork)
- 15+ LIVE guided workouts (with recordings if you miss one)
- Daily wellness tips (nutrition, recovery, optimization)
- Private Facebook community (social accountability)
- LIVE Q&A sessions (troubleshoot in real-time)
- My book: "6-Pack ABS for Keyboard Warriors" (€27 value, included FREE)
- Prize eligibility at 80%+ completion (co-branded jump ropes, 70% coaching discounts, equipment deals)
For less than €1/day
- Investment: €19 (less than €1/day)
- Value: €150+
- Success probability with this system: Dramatically higher than going solo
Look, I'm not going to blow smoke about how "this time will be different" just because you want it to be. That's the garbage that keeps people in the 91% failure group.
What I WILL tell you is this: If you apply the framework in this article - SMART identity-based goals, social accountability, structured systems, environmental design, and consistent execution - you WILL see results.
The challenge is simply the vehicle that makes all of this easier to implement.
Take Action: Your Next Steps
You've got the knowledge. Now you need the execution.
Here's what to do right now:
1. Define Your Identity-Based Goal (5 minutes)
- Who do you want to become this year?
- Write: "I'm the type of person who..."
- Make it specific, measurable, and identity-anchored
2. Build Your Accountability System (10 minutes)
- Who will you commit to?
- What group will you join?
- When will you check in?
3. Start Small Today (Right Now)
- Do ONE thing today that your future identity would do
- It doesn't matter how small
- Cast the first vote for who you're becoming
4. Join the Challenge (Optional but Recommended)
- If you want the complete framework implemented for you
- If you want community and accountability built-in
- If you want to leverage everything you learned in this article
Full Stack January LIVE Challenge
21 days to Reset your habits, Rebuild your strength, and Reclaim the energy and focus your career demands. Start January 12th with structured accountability and proven systems.
The Bottom Line
92% of people fail at their New Year's resolutions not because they're weak or lazy. They fail because they're using broken systems.
You now have the framework that actually works:
- Set identity-based SMART goals
- Build systems, not just outcome targets
- Install social accountability (95% vs 10% success rate)
- Design your environment for success
- Track relentlessly
- Start small and compound
The question isn't whether this works. The data proves it does.
The question is: Will YOU implement it?
You can go solo with a 10% success rate, or you can engineer your environment for a 95% success rate. Your choice.
Welcome to performance engineering for your body.
Let's build.
— Ivan
Footnotes and References
Footnotes
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Norcross, J. C. (1978-2020). Research on New Year's resolutions success rates. University of Scranton. Referenced in: Bahrami, Z., & Cranney, J. (2022). Applying SMART Goal Intervention Leads to Greater Goal Attainment. International Journal of Mental Health and Addiction. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11469-022-00767-5 ↩
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Ohio State University Fisher College of Business. (n.d.). Why Most New Year's Resolutions Fail. Lead Read Today. https://fisher.osu.edu/blogs/leadreadtoday/why-most-new-years-resolutions-fail ↩
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TIME. (2022). How Not to Fail at Keeping Your New Year's Resolutions. https://time.com/6243642/how-to-keep-new-years-resolutions-2/ ↩ ↩2
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Dai, H., Milkman, K. L., & Riis, J. (2014). The Fresh Start Effect: Temporal Landmarks Motivate Aspirational Behavior. Management Science, 60(10), 2563-2582. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2014.1901 ↩
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Norcross, J. C., University of Scranton research. Referenced in: Experience Point. (n.d.). New Year, New Me: The Science Behind New Year's Resolutions. https://blog.experiencepoint.com/2022-new-year-new-me-why-new-years-resolutions-fail ↩
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Drive Research. (2025). New Year's Resolutions Statistics and Trends. https://www.driveresearch.com/market-research-company-blog/new-years-resolutions-statistics/ ↩
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CORDIS, European Commission. (2023). What does science say about all the failed New Year's resolutions? https://cordis.europa.eu/article/id/442773-trending-science-what-does-science-say-about-all-the-failed-new-year-s-resolutions ↩
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Strava data analysis. Referenced in: Defender Network. (2025). New year's resolutions: Statistics and strategies for success. https://defendernetwork.com/2025-ones-to-watch/new-years-resolution-lasting-success/ ↩
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Carlbring, P., et al. Research on goal framing effectiveness. Stockholm University. Referenced in: CORDIS, European Commission. (2023). https://cordis.europa.eu/article/id/442773-trending-science-what-does-science-say-about-all-the-failed-new-year-s-resolutions ↩
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Association for Talent Development study. Referenced in: AFCPE. (2018). The Power of Accountability. https://www.afcpe.org/news-and-publications/the-standard/2018-3/the-power-of-accountability/ ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4
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TIME. (2022). Study on social norms and behavior change in classroom settings. How Not to Fail at Keeping Your New Year's Resolutions. https://time.com/6243642/how-to-keep-new-years-resolutions-2/ ↩
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Clear, J. (2018). Atomic Habits: An Easy & Proven Way to Build Good Habits & Break Bad Ones. New York: Avery. Also: Clear, J. (2020). Identity-Based Habits: How to Actually Stick to Your Goals This Year. https://jamesclear.com/identity-based-habits ↩ ↩2 ↩3
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Baumeister, R. F., & Tierney, J. (2011). Willpower: Rediscovering the Greatest Human Strength. New York: Penguin Press. ↩
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Bahrami, Z., & Cranney, J. (2022). Applying SMART Goal Intervention Leads to Greater Goal Attainment, Need Satisfaction and Positive Affect. International Journal of Mental Health and Addiction. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11469-022-00767-5 ↩
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Clear, J. (2018). Atomic Habits. Chapter on environment design and friction reduction. ↩
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Clear, J. (2018). Atomic Habits. The mathematics of 1% improvement: 1.01^365 = 37.78 ↩